Every morning our models — ELO, Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Monte-Carlo simulations — go through the day's fixtures. Here are the 15 most confident calls for 17 September 2026, across Football, Tennis, NFL, Basketball, Handball. Probabilities read as frequencies: 60% means six times out of ten, not ten. Full predictions, combos and the detailed analysis of every match are in the app.

Yesterday's record

16 predictions settled, 13 called right.

  • ✅ Colo Colo – Catolica: predicted Colo Colo (63%), result 59-57.
  • ✅ Olympiakos Piraeus – Jagiellonia: predicted Olympiakos Piraeus (82%), result 2-1.
  • ✅ Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar: predicted Sunderland (71%), result 1-0.
  • ❌ Manchester United – Brighton: predicted Manchester United (68%), result 2-3.
  • ❌ Sturm Graz – Rennes: predicted Rennes (60%), result 0-0.
  • ✅ Everton – Wolves: predicted Everton (70%), result 1-0.
  • ✅ Atletico Madrid – Osasuna: predicted Atletico Madrid (77%), result 4-0.
  • ✅ CSM Oradea – AEK Larnaca: predicted CSM Oradea (70%), result 95-87.

Football

  • Flamengo-RJ – Independiente del Valle (Copa Libertadores, 02:30 UTC) — Flamengo-RJ 81%, draw 16%, Independiente del Valle 3%. Expected goals 2.4 – 0.3, most likely score 2-0 (19%).
  • OFI – 1899 Hoffenheim (UEFA Europa League, 18:45 UTC) — OFI 4%, draw 15%, 1899 Hoffenheim 80%. Expected goals 0.5 – 2.6, most likely score 0-2 (15%).
  • Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (Europa League, 21:00 UTC) — Crystal Palace 79%, draw 17%, Lech Poznań 4%. Expected goals 2.3 – 0.4, most likely score 2-0 (18%).
  • OFI Crete – TSG Hoffenheim (Europa League, 18:45 UTC) — OFI Crete 5%, draw 18%, TSG Hoffenheim 77%. Expected goals 0.5 – 2.2, most likely score 0-2 (17%).

Tennis

  • Dominika Salkova – Mary Stoiana (19:30 UTC) — Dominika Salkova 34% – Mary Stoiana 66%.
  • Cristina Bucsa – Sara Bejlek (21:00 UTC) — Cristina Bucsa 36% – Sara Bejlek 64%.
  • Peyton Stearns – Sloane Stephens (02:10 UTC) — Peyton Stearns 62% – Sloane Stephens 38%.
  • Elina Avanesyan – Alina Charaeva (17:00 UTC) — Elina Avanesyan 58% – Alina Charaeva 42%.

NFL

  • Pittsburgh Panthers – Syracuse Orange (NCAAF, 01:30 UTC) — Pittsburgh Panthers 78% – Syracuse Orange 22%.
  • Buffalo Bills – Detroit Lions (NFL, 00:15 UTC) — Buffalo Bills 66% – Detroit Lions 34%.

Basketball

  • Seattle Storm W – Las Vegas Aces W (WNBA, 02:00 UTC) — Seattle Storm W 20% – Las Vegas Aces W 80%.
  • Dallas Wings W – Los Angeles Sparks W (WNBA, 00:00 UTC) — Dallas Wings W 74% – Los Angeles Sparks W 26%.
  • Gargzdai – Zalgiris Kaunas (LKL, 15:50 UTC) — Gargzdai 28% – Zalgiris Kaunas 72%.
  • VEF Riga – Dziki Warszawa (Champions League, 11:15 UTC) — VEF Riga 70% – Dziki Warszawa 30%.

Handball

  • Saratov – St. Petersburg (Superleague, 15:00 UTC) — Saratov 77% – St. Petersburg 15%.

How to read these numbers

A 70%% probability is not a promise: over ten similar matches, the outcome happens seven times. That is why every call is locked before kick-off and then checked against the real result — the record is published every morning, hits and misses included.

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