Every morning our models — ELO, Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Monte-Carlo simulations — go through the day's fixtures. Here are the 12 most confident calls for 16 September 2026, across Football, Tennis, Basketball. Probabilities read as frequencies: 60% means six times out of ten, not ten. Full predictions, combos and the detailed analysis of every match are in the app.

Yesterday's record

15 predictions settled, 9 called right.

  • ✅ Elche – Real Madrid: predicted Real Madrid (86%), result 2-3.
  • ✅ Fiorentina – Pisa: predicted Fiorentina (75%), result 3-0.
  • ❌ Middlesbrough – Millwall: predicted Middlesbrough (74%), result 2-2.
  • ❌ Hibernian – Kilmarnock: predicted Hibernian (78%), result 0-1.
  • ❌ Motherwell – Aberdeen: predicted Motherwell (63%), result 0-4.
  • ✅ Falkirk – Heart Of Midlothian: predicted Falkirk (66%), result 2-1.
  • ❌ West Ham – Fulham: predicted West Ham (76%), result 2-3.
  • ❌ Bristol City – Lincoln: predicted Bristol City (60%), result 0-1.

Football

  • Olympiakos Piraeus – Jagiellonia (UEFA Europa League, 21:00 UTC) — Olympiakos Piraeus 83%, draw 14%, Jagiellonia 3%. Expected goals 2.6 – 0.4, most likely score 2-0 (17%).
  • Atletico Madrid – Osasuna (La Liga, 19:00 UTC) — Atletico Madrid 81%, draw 15%, Osasuna 4%. Expected goals 2.5 – 0.4, most likely score 2-0 (17%).
  • Olympiakos Piraeus – Jagiellonia Białystok (Europa League, 21:00 UTC) — Olympiakos Piraeus 81%, draw 16%, Jagiellonia Białystok 3%. Expected goals 2.3 – 0.4, most likely score 2-0 (18%).
  • Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (UEFA Europa League, 21:00 UTC) — Sunderland 75%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 6%. Expected goals 2.3 – 0.6, most likely score 2-0 (15%).

Tennis

  • Suzan Lamens – Carolina Alves (16:00 UTC) — Suzan Lamens 82% – Carolina Alves 18%.
  • Zeynep Sonmez – Iva Jovic (22:10 UTC) — Zeynep Sonmez 24% – Iva Jovic 76%.
  • Vendula Valdmannova – Laura Pigossi (19:40 UTC) — Vendula Valdmannova 76% – Laura Pigossi 24%.
  • Jessica Bouzas Maneiro – Dominika Salkova (16:00 UTC) — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 75% – Dominika Salkova 25%.

Basketball

  • CSM Oradea – AEK Larnaca (Champions League, 18:00 UTC) — CSM Oradea 70% – AEK Larnaca 30%.
  • Bakken Bears – Zwolle (Champions League, 13:30 UTC) — Bakken Bears 69% – Zwolle 31%.
  • Tagawa – Chong Ghee (NBL, 11:30 UTC) — Tagawa 36% – Chong Ghee 64%.
  • Colo Colo – Catolica (LNB, 23:00 UTC) — Colo Colo 63% – Catolica 37%.

How to read these numbers

A 70%% probability is not a promise: over ten similar matches, the outcome happens seven times. That is why every call is locked before kick-off and then checked against the real result — the record is published every morning, hits and misses included.

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