Every morning our models — ELO, Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Monte-Carlo simulations — go through the day's fixtures. Here are the 10 most confident calls for 15 September 2026, across Football, Tennis, Basketball. Probabilities read as frequencies: 60% means six times out of ten, not ten. Full predictions, combos and the detailed analysis of every match are in the app.

Yesterday's record

12 predictions settled, 9 called right.

  • ✅ Dep. San Jose – Felix Perez Cardozo: predicted Dep. San Jose (65%), result 90-73.
  • ✅ SC Braga – Estoril: predicted SC Braga (78%), result 1-0.
  • ❌ Villarreal – Real Betis: predicted Villarreal (61%), result 1-2.
  • ✅ Torino – AS Roma: predicted AS Roma (71%), result 0-2.
  • ❌ Opava – Dziki Warszawa: predicted Opava (66%), result 99-116.
  • ✅ Leeds – Newcastle: predicted Leeds (47%), result 4-1.
  • ✅ VEF Riga – Absheron Lions: predicted VEF Riga (73%), result 105-88.
  • ✅ Guadalajara Chivas – U.N.A.M. - Pumas: predicted Guadalajara Chivas (76%), result 3-0.

Football

  • Fiorentina – Pisa (Coppa Italia, 21:00 UTC) — Fiorentina 82%, draw 14%, Pisa 4%. Expected goals 2.6 – 0.5, most likely score 2-0 (15%).
  • Atletico Madrid – Osasuna (La Liga, 19:00 UTC) — Atletico Madrid 81%, draw 15%, Osasuna 4%. Expected goals 2.5 – 0.5, most likely score 2-0 (16%).
  • Hibernian – Kilmarnock (Premiership, 20:45 UTC) — Hibernian 80%, draw 15%, Kilmarnock 5%. Expected goals 2.6 – 0.6, most likely score 2-0 (14%).
  • MSV Duisburg – TSV Havelse (3. Liga, 19:00 UTC) — MSV Duisburg 80%, draw 17%, TSV Havelse 4%. Expected goals 2.3 – 0.4, most likely score 2-0 (18%).

Tennis

  • Eva Lys – Gabriela Ce (18:00 UTC) — Eva Lys 90% – Gabriela Ce 10%.
  • Suzan Lamens – Carolina Alves (19:10 UTC) — Suzan Lamens 82% – Carolina Alves 18%.
  • Teodora Kostovic – Victoria Luiza Barros (15:30 UTC) — Teodora Kostovic 77% – Victoria Luiza Barros 23%.
  • Vendula Valdmannova – Laura Pigossi (23:40 UTC) — Vendula Valdmannova 77% – Laura Pigossi 23%.

Basketball

  • Benfica – Geneva Lions (Champions League, 15:45 UTC) — Benfica 68% – Geneva Lions 32%.
  • Vechta – Denizli Basket (Champions League, 18:00 UTC) — Vechta 57% – Denizli Basket 43%.

How to read these numbers

A 70%% probability is not a promise: over ten similar matches, the outcome happens seven times. That is why every call is locked before kick-off and then checked against the real result — the record is published every morning, hits and misses included.

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